Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 198.406388 231.529444 270.055914 318.567551 378.571179 451.080453 5.464450e+02
2025-07-20 162.430410 205.998295 262.452431 342.564126 456.020552 615.294477 8.640702e+02
2025-07-27 136.956116 183.246886 247.637071 346.794670 501.501273 744.608248 1.180339e+03
2025-08-03 121.265914 169.264629 239.936509 356.371892 553.709983 896.552888 1.595720e+03
2025-08-10 107.681315 155.413656 228.964281 357.042263 589.815199 1031.323844 2.044954e+03
2025-08-17 98.020223 145.712988 222.249883 362.431842 634.404285 1195.931183 2.649329e+03
2025-08-24 88.942298 135.493791 212.779664 360.552480 664.042794 1340.225199 3.298947e+03
2025-08-31 81.700337 127.245367 205.236851 360.417214 696.742631 1503.685079 4.124402e+03
2025-09-07 76.368719 121.500595 201.139022 365.934552 742.946814 1719.463736 5.308534e+03
2025-09-14 68.933524 111.245767 187.434067 349.368221 734.011441 1786.059214 6.024158e+03
2025-09-21 64.486911 105.824735 182.056020 349.342521 765.205033 1982.105016 7.500238e+03
2025-09-28 60.831824 101.445478 178.091172 351.636425 803.078679 2218.493344 9.503972e+03
2025-10-05 59.290796 101.254742 183.219913 377.807659 920.734266 2821.365910 1.496165e+04
2025-10-12 57.899296 101.255607 188.928918 407.440902 1063.910669 3658.689576 2.515281e+04
2025-10-19 54.604420 97.112099 185.221823 412.700483 1134.671830 4268.974745 3.660727e+04
2025-10-26 52.150698 94.364574 184.133846 424.630937 1234.174416 5134.926079 5.769396e+04
2025-11-02 49.190008 90.246685 179.373696 425.466736 1295.424522 5881.912005 8.548269e+04
2025-11-09 46.892463 87.275692 176.848627 432.189637 1383.727386 6929.909576 1.384841e+05
2025-11-16 44.284912 83.381752 171.627219 429.844674 1435.377555 7826.707458 2.125501e+05
2025-11-23 42.040714 80.065066 167.386761 429.675924 1497.844061 8935.044633 3.482241e+05
2025-11-30 40.349991 77.808495 165.477824 436.562020 1597.760150 10592.209889 6.707676e+05
2025-12-07 37.480476 72.672854 155.732166 415.904437 1556.098446 10836.701720 8.849443e+05
2025-12-14 35.804134 70.108989 152.304353 415.872435 1620.318304 12382.299140 1.737026e+06